Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 2.401171 2.739975 3.100174 3.510626 3.964345 4.449515 5.006494
2024-12-29 1.873477 2.359526 2.917140 3.599359 4.406406 5.325463 6.445694
2025-01-05 1.508898 2.077287 2.774856 3.682062 4.817748 6.178899 7.918678
2025-01-12 1.197835 1.793084 2.570633 3.639010 5.044564 6.804684 9.146044
2025-01-19 1.005236 1.622512 2.474617 3.702418 5.386982 7.574618 10.580946
2025-01-26 0.852096 1.476483 2.383740 3.748679 5.692799 8.299252 11.983288
2025-02-02 0.734153 1.360090 2.313970 3.806609 6.005043 9.036480 13.427482
2025-02-09 0.623001 1.234028 2.209995 3.796481 6.208938 9.624589 14.686122
2025-02-16 0.521543 1.105626 2.083480 3.733631 6.321592 10.079380 15.769077
2025-02-23 0.455257 1.026866 2.025275 3.766900 6.572977 10.737200 17.159386
2025-03-02 0.386285 0.930507 1.924170 3.717637 6.687401 11.191947 18.267347
2025-03-09 0.344475 0.879415 1.894618 3.781376 6.978908 11.918701 19.796866
2025-03-16 0.296640 0.809136 1.824964 3.775094 7.164960 12.507015 21.167481
2025-03-23 0.272774 0.786687 1.842795 3.924786 7.618943 13.534064 23.249514
2025-03-30 0.247470 0.756218 1.841154 4.038183 8.017419 14.490658 25.260579
2025-04-06 0.211307 0.692166 1.763601 4.002359 8.154507 15.032447 26.644355
2025-04-13 0.189316 0.658792 1.744981 4.075526 8.484513 15.898392 28.566923
2025-04-20 0.168401 0.623537 1.717459 4.127583 8.777470 16.712532 30.432098
2025-04-27 0.150808 0.593418 1.697154 4.191128 9.092816 17.574004 32.399591
2025-05-04 0.130839 0.551293 1.643493 4.180556 9.268047 18.202496 34.004676
2025-05-11 0.110517 0.502324 1.566434 4.112724 9.328807 18.633706 35.294656
2025-05-18 0.098015 0.475349 1.539304 4.148791 9.588939 19.418444 37.195280
2025-05-25 0.083244 0.435903 1.474653 4.095518 9.669502 19.887342 38.574878